Scientist Calculates Faked Moon Landing Would Have Been Exposed In 4 Years

Major conspiracies theories, such as a faked Moon landing, would have been exposed within just a few years if they were really true, a scientist has concluded.

Oxford University physicist Dr David Grimes worked out a mathematical way to calculate the chances of a plot being deliberately leaked by a whistle-blower or accidentally uncovered.

He was able to show that the more people share in a conspiracy, the shorter its lifespan is likely to be.

For a plot to last five years, the maximum number of plotters turned out to be 2,521. To keep a scheme operating undetected for more than a decade, fewer than 1,000 people could be involved, while a century-long deception had to include fewer than 125 collaborators.

Applying the technique to four real-life scenarios showed that had the moon landings been a hoax - involving an estimated 411,000 people who worked at Nasa - it would have been found out in three years and eight months.

Back on Earth, a climate change conspiracy with 405,000 conspirators – based on scientists and staff at institutions like the Royal Society and the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) - would have lasted just three years and nine months.

And if big pharmaceutical companies were keeping a cure of cancer up their sleeves, the plot would be exposed within three years and three months, Dr Grimes concludes.

Read More:  The Telegraph

Yes, the classic too many people would have to know or be in on it theory being propagandized.